It's early days of the 2014 TIAS so it's impossible to know yet what it will be. I'm using Lizbeth #130 Island Breeze in size 20 this year.
Is it a pinwheel?
The pinwheel has fallen over into the water. Maybe it's a paddle-wheel!
If you haven't already, head over to the TIAS blog and check out who-all has joined in this year.